Adoption of fuel-efficient cookstoves can decrease household fuel use and, therefore, carbon emissions. There are a wide variety of cookstove offsets on the market, using different technologies in different contexts. Although the methodology used to certify these projects ensures that they make a reasonable case for offsetting emissions, it also requires strong assumptions around stove use and changes in cooking behavior. The impact evaluation literature shows highly mixed results. Some Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) show cookstoves having strong effects on fuel usage while others show null effects.
We do not feel comfortable recommending cookstove offsets in general, as the RCT literature shows that the required assumptions are frequently not satisfied. However, we would recommend offset projects that are very similar to those that have shown strong results in a rigorous evaluation, such as the recent work by Berkouwer and Dean (2019). Given this RCT, we recommend offsets generated by the manufacturer of the cookstoves studied in that paper, BURN.
Cookstoves as a carbon offset
In theory, clean cookstoves appear to be a good way for donors to achieve emissions reductions while also improving the lives of poor households. Many poor households in the developing world cook over an open fire, which is not energy efficient and results in household smoke. There are myriad improved cookstove technologies that promise improved fuel efficiency. This leads to fewer CO2 emissions, as well as improved indoor air quality, and savings on fuel costs. Revenue from offsets can be used to subsidize cookstove distribution or even give them away for free.
However, clean cookstove projects have a mixed record of success. Many have used technologies that were not well-suited to local conditions, leading to stove malfunctions and limited usage. Whether a cookstove project is truly offsetting emissions depends on the details of the specific project.
Efficient cookstoves result in decreased emissions by decreasing the amount of fuel a household uses for cooking. This causal mechanism is theoretically valid, but in practice, even the introduction of stoves that are mechanically superior will not result in reductions in fuel usage, due to various behavioral elements.
Certifiers such as the Gold Standard use a specific methodology to calculate emissions reductions from cookstove projects. We base our assessment off of the Gold Standard methodology, but to the best of our understanding, the methodology of the other certifiers is roughly similar. Their calculation relies on a standard model which takes into account the baseline value of fuel usage, the efficiency of the stove, and pre-determined conversion factors of wood to emissions (approved by the UN’s IPCC) to calculate the amount of emissions reductions. It also includes corrections for some human behavior elements, such as the fraction of households who continue to use their old stoves, and the fraction of cooking that continues to be conducted on the old stoves.
Key model parameters, such as whether households are still using stoves, need to be continually verified by a third party in order for carbon credits to be issued.
Overall, we have three main concerns with cookstove certification methods:
1. There is no actual measurement of fuel usage.
While this is understandably more difficult to measure, it would provide an indication of how much fuel is actually utilized once the stove is in use. Without this data, we have to rely on strong assumptions about the usage of the stove and its efficiency in real-world conditions. Additionally, the offset certifiers assume that energy demand stays constant even though the stove drastically decreases the price of cooking.
2. There is no comparison group.
Offset certifiers measure reduction of (estimated) fuel usage compared to a “baseline” that is measured at the beginning of the projects. Without a comparison group, we must make the strong assumption that the level of wood consumption at baseline would have stayed constant in absence of the project. This may not be true if cooking practices are changing over time for other reasons, such as decreasing availability of foraged wood.
3. Verification data is collected by recipients of offset funds.
The field-based verification of stove usage could give one confidence that emissions are being reduced by certified projects, especially since there are many examples in the literature of cookstove projects failing due to lack of household usage. However, there appears to be a major conflict of interest in the fact that the verification surveys are contracted by the project developers. They have a strong incentive to show that stoves are being used.
Given that certification methodologies rely on a number of questionable assumptions, we next ask whether these are validated in the literature. Fortunately, a number of high-quality RCTs on improved cooking technology have been conducted in a number of contexts. If these studies generally find that stove usage remains high and wood usage decreases in line with the increased efficiency of the stoves, that would go a long way towards believing the offset assumptions.
Unfortunately, the results of these studies are very mixed. There are certainly some studies showing positive results. For instance, Bensch and Peters (2015) conduct an RCT of improved cookstoves in Senegal and indeed find large decreases in firewood usage. But they also find that 27% of meals are cooked on traditional stoves in the treatment group a year after distribution, which is higher than the assumptions we see in many offset projects. Berkouwer and Dean (2019) find that improved cookstoves in Kenya lead to reductions in fuel expenditure by 40% (which is close to the manufacturer’s claims of 50% lower fuel usage), and that these effects persist for 18 months after their adoption. On the other hand, Hanna et al (2016) find no change in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from a cookstove project in India, primarily due to dis-adoption of the stoves. Additionally, Aung et al (2016) find no change in fuel usage for a cookstove project that received emissions credits in India. Beltramo and Levine (2013) also find no effect of an improved cookstove on fuel usage in Senegal.
Due to the strong assumptions necessarily made in the certification process and the mixed results in the RCT literature, we do not feel like we can confidently recommend cookstove offset projects unless their causality has been validated with a high-quality impact evaluation.
There are many different types of cookstove projects, and the details of their organization(s) are important in determining project-level additionality. Many cookstove projects sell their stoves, so offsets are not strictly necessary to ensure stove distribution. In these cases, the organization may have a valid business model without offsets, and therefore the offsets would not satisfy project-level additionality. However, in some markets, it might be necessary to sell the stoves at a subsidy, which would make offsets more additional. Also, some projects simply give away stoves to families. These types of projects would not survive without offsets.
In theory, a cookstove project should be able to satisfy marginal additionality. For projects that give away stoves, an additional offset sold can provide funding to distribute an additional stove. For projects that sell stoves, offsets can be used to decrease prices, therefore increasing the total amount of cookstoves sold. As shown in Berkouwer and Dean (2019), the demand for cookstoves increases sharply as costs are lowered.
Emissions avoided due to stoves being more fuel-efficient are avoided permanently. If cookstoves avoid emissions from biomass, these gains could be short-lived if the fuel burns down in a fire anyway. However, in general, projects that achieve energy efficiency cause lasting carbon impacts.
Improved cookstoves can deliver benefits to their owners apart from lowered GHGs. Households with an efficient cookstove can save time and money that would otherwise be spent in gathering/purchasing fuel. Also, improved cookstoves can result in less indoor smoke, improving the health of family members, especially women and children.
Both economic and health benefits rely on the same mechanism as reduced GHG emissions: using less fuel. Therefore, if stoves are effective in reducing households’ use of fuels, they are likely to come with co-benefits as well as reduced GHG emissions.
Assessment of cookstove projects
Our main concern with cookstove offsets is that cookstove projects do not always result in lowered fuel usage by households. Therefore, the key input into our recommendations would be a clear indication that a particular offset project actually decreases household fuel usage in its setting. We recommend BURN due to strong evidence of this in Berkouwer and Dean (2019). This study showed reductions in actual fuel use of a similar magnitude as predicted by the efficiency of the stove, which is a key assumption made in the offset certification that is rarely validated in the RCT literature. We would feel confident recommending additional offset projects that are also supported by a strong impact evaluation, or are similar enough to BURN stoves such that we believe that the results in Berkouwer and Dean (2019) apply. However, currently, we have not found other cookstove projects to recommend.
This work is preliminary, and subject to change. Questions and comments are welcome at email@example.com.
Aung, Ther W., et al. "Health and climate-relevant pollutant concentrations from a carbon-finance approved cookstove intervention in rural India." Environmental science & technology 50.13 (2016): 7228-7238.
Berkouwer, Susanna and Joshua Dean. “Credit and attention in the adoption of profitable energy-efficient technologies in Kenya.” Mimeo, 2019
Beltramo, Theresa and David I. Levine. "The effect of solar ovens on fuel use, emissions and health: results from a randomised controlled trial." Journal of Development Effectiveness 5.2 (2013): 178-207.
Bensch, Gunther, and Jörg Peters. "The intensive margin of technology adoption–Experimental evidence on improved cooking stoves in rural Senegal." Journal of health economics 42 (2015): 44-63.
Hanna, Rema, Esther Duflo, and Michael Greenstone. "Up in smoke: the influence of household behavior on the long-run impact of improved cooking stoves." American Economic Journal: Economic Policy 8.1 (2016): 80-114.